Will the app that you installed on your phone last until 2020? Will it last for twenty minutes? Maybe by 2020, using apps will be something to look back on with nostalgia.
A mobithinking.com report highlights a 2010 study from ABI Research that predicts 2013 will see the peak of app usage before a steady decline as people migrate to web apps. Just look at Facebook. Its app isn’t an app at all but a link to its mobile site.
Consumers might like apps, but delivering them is quite costly in development time. Developing an Internet site is relatively cheap compared to developing and maintaining an app for users of Apple, Blackberry, Nokia, Windows, and Android.
The fragmentation in the app sector is like oil companies having to develop a special gasoline for each manufacturer of cars and updating it every time a new model hits the market. This logistical nightmare cannot be sustainable except for the most successful and profitable apps. How many of them are there? Doesn’t everyone look for free apps first?
Companies have been forced by market pressures to create apps. Developers for those apps are in hot demand, but for how long? How long before companies move away from the cost of an iPhone app developer, a Windows app developer, a Blackberry app developer, and an Android developer? The question is what will they move to?
Greg Rewis's video below offers an interesting insight into HTML5 and app development. This is what got me thinking about this subject.
The light at the end of the tunnel is HTML5 and jQuery. Here we have tools that can live on any Internet browser that supports them, and they can operate across devices—iPhones, iPads, Galaxies, Blackberrys, etc.—unlike an app that can only work on one device, possibly only one version of an operating system, before an update is required.
It seems to me that in moving to technology that lets us create first, our lives might get that little bit simpler, allowing us to focus more on the creative stuff and less on the boring maintenance work. What are your thoughts on webapps, HTML5, and jQuery vs. the traditional app?
A software test professional based in Dublin, Ireland, Brendan Quinn is currently the senior mobile test engineer for a betting exchange. For fifteen years, Brendan has worked in software localization, finance, telecoms, insurance, and gambling industries. He has worked as a test team lead in several companies. Brendan is a strong advocate for process in the SDLC. You can contact him at email@example.com.